While there's no way of guaranteeing the answer to this question, there are select correlations spanning more than 110 years ...

A recession is a major downturn in a country's economy that lasts for months. It’s marked by declining GDP over two ...

Recessions feel interminable because of their impact on the job market, stock market and household budgets. The actual downturn might end in 10 months, but it “may take us longer to bounce back,” said ...

Recession concerns have been prevalent on Wall Street, but key economic indicators, such as the unemployment rate, are not aligning with historical ... watch more expert insights and analysis ...

Historical patterns suggest that recession probability increases dramatically ... and composition of growth provides more nuanced insights. Private domestic final purchases, which exclude volatile ...

Economists often use imperfect historical information to form opinions about the economy’s direction. We often don’t know we’re in a recession until it’s well underway—typically ...

Reducing the trade deficit will be a challenge, eliminating it without a recession, a historic feat. The United States has ...

There are extenuating circumstances that may allow for a reversal of fortunes before a deeper recession takes hold, but in the meantime many historical ... to the best insights and advice for ...

Fears of a recession are top of mind amid Trump's trade wars and stock market dips. Trump's tariffs and economic policies have heightened uncertainty. Leading thinkers are keeping tabs on the topic.

Eight economists that make up the NBER committee determine a recession. The last one was during COVID in 2020.