The economy contracted 0.3% in the 1st quarter as imports surged ahead of Trump's tariffs. But underlying data showed sturdy ...

The unemployment rate is one of the most important economic indicators ... and vice versa. The graph below overlays the inflation rate (red) with the unemployment rate (blue) and shows that ...

A graph on the GDPNow page lists the "Blue Chip Consensus" average of the top 10 and bottom 10 forecasts at about 2% U.S. GDP growth for Q1 2025. But since a Feb. 28 update, the GDPNow has gone ...