News

Recession forecasts slide in betting markets with US-China trade tensions cooling
Bettors on Polymarket and Kalshi slashed their recession outlooks below 50% after the US-China tariff deal was announced over ...
Economic outlook brightens, recession odds fall after US-China tariff deal
US economic outlook improves, inflation forecasts drop and recession odds fall after US-China trade deal to reduce the ...
Trump’s China trade breakthrough might be enough to avoid self-inflicted recession
While the White House backed off from its steepest levies on Chinese goods, economists say it’s still too early to declare ...
What Wall Street's bright minds think about the US-China trade deal
Progress on US-China trade over the weekend sent stocks soaring on Monday. But some top commentators say tariffs are still a ...
Bank stocks see broad rally as U.S.-China trade talks reduce recession predictions
The momentum is increasing after the U.S. and China agreed to reduce tariffs for 90 days while trade talks continue. The Financial Select Sector SPDR exchange-traded fund XLF rose 2% to $50.87 at the ...
Hawai‘i Public Radio6h
UHERO forecasts mild recession, return to 'Hawaiʻi's long-run growth rate'
Smith, an assistant professor at UHERO about local impacts of ongoing tariff uncertainty, and what a mild recession will mean ...
Is a US recession imminent and what would be the impact on India? How should we manage a robust portfolio in this scenario?
US tariff policies have stirred economic uncertainty, potentially triggering a short-term recession due to delayed capital ...
CNET on MSN11h
Mortgage Forecast: Tariffs Have Kept Mortgage Rates High. Will That Change in May?
This week, mortgage rates are mainly driven by headlines about ongoing trade negotiations and the bond market’s reaction to ...
China, US agree to 90-day tariff cuts ahead of more talks to defuse trade war
US President Donald Trump said he would likely speak to Chinese President Xi Jinping later this week. Read more at ...
Can government bonds come out on top in a tariff war?
As the political volatility continues and the trade war between China and the US shows little sign of abating, fluctuations in the bond market ...
Cooling U.S.-China trade tensions don't mean smooth sailing for U.S. economy
New estimates from the Yale Budget Lab show that, after the weekend deal with China, U.S. consumers will face an overall average effective tariff rate of 17.8%. That's the highest since 1934. These ...