PECOTA is back for 2025, and as usual, we have improvements to announce. This season the improvements are notable both for where we chose and chose not to make them. Two changes drive these ...

The Baseball Prospectus PECOTA isn’t giving much weight to the modestly decent 21-27 start to the Washington Nationals season ...

Baseball Prospectus released its PECOTA projections for the 2024 season this week. Although there are still a number of prominent free agents available, it's time to see how all 30 teams stack up.

Last year’s PECOTA projections from Baseball Prospectus were spot on for the Yankees. PECOTA’s simulations had the Yankees at 94.4 wins, reclaiming their place atop the American League East ...

It’s PECOTA Week. For baseball fans who track advanced analytics – at this late date, do any baseball fans NOT track advanced analytics? – it’s biggest week of the calendar year.

Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA standings project the Yankees to win 89.7 games and for the Mets to win 88.9. The projections, which came out Monday, envision both as playoff teams. The Yankees ...

DETROIT -- PECOTA projects the Detroit Tigers to go 79-83 in 2025 and finish in fourth place in the American League Central. But, wait! That’s not as bad as it sounds. PECOTA picked the Tigers ...

The PECOTA projections for the 2024 Cincinnati Reds are wrong. They are running off of incomplete information. If you are wagering on win totals based on the PECOTA projections, you'll take the ...

Every year PECOTA, a baseball algorithm that projects the baseball season over and over, says the Colorado Rockies are one of three teams who have a 0% chance to make the postseason in 2025.

Montas’ big smile quickly disappeared when he was told Wednesday that Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA system pegs the Reds’ win total at 78. “Psshht, come on, that’s low,” Montas scoffed.