Recession concerns have been prevalent on Wall Street, but key economic indicators, such as the unemployment rate, are not aligning with historical ... watch more expert insights and analysis ...

Recessions feel interminable because of their impact on the job market, stock market and household budgets. The actual downturn might end in 10 months, but it “may take us longer to bounce back,” said ...

Historical patterns suggest that recession probability increases dramatically ... and composition of growth provides more nuanced insights. Private domestic final purchases, which exclude volatile ...

This provides insights into both the prediction accuracy and ... leading to thresholds of 0.23 for the yield curve and 0.36 and 0.18 for the historical cyclical trends and real-time recession clocks, ...

Economists often use imperfect historical information to form opinions about the economy’s direction. We often don’t know we’re in a recession until it’s well underway—typically ...

Fears of a recession are top of mind amid Trump's trade wars and stock market dips. Trump's tariffs and economic policies have heightened uncertainty. Leading thinkers are keeping tabs on the topic.

There are extenuating circumstances that may allow for a reversal of fortunes before a deeper recession takes hold, but in the meantime many historical ... to the best insights and advice for ...

"The run-of-the-mill recession in U.S. history is very different from the ... the founder of research firm Inflation Insights. Those job losses will disproportionately fall on some of the most ...

Eight economists that make up the NBER committee determine a recession. The last one was during COVID in 2020.