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The U.S. economy contracted in the first quarter, but it takes more than one bad quarter of GDP for a recession to officially ...
As President Donald Trump’s oft-changing tariff policies work their way through the economy ... the U.S. to dodge “a full-blown recession this year as trade deals are agreed and tariffs ...
Amid tariff announcements and economic uncertainty, real GDP unexpectedly fell at an annualized rate of 0.3% in the year's ...
Still, Bernstein sees a roughly 50/50 chance of a US recession because of the stagflationary shock from tariffs, which are expected to simultaneously slow the economy and increase prices. The policy ...
OK, now let's take the latest recession odds, using 63% as the more conservative estimate, along with the -0.8% to -3.4% GDP ... % of the US auto supply chain back to the US takes 3 years.
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